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Award/Grant Name: Modelling and Simulation for E-Social Sciences (MOSES)
Award/Grant Holder: Professor Mark Birkin
Co-applicant(s): Dr Haibo Chen, Professor MC Clarke, Professor J Keen, Professor Jie Xu, Professor Philip Rees, Professor Peter Dew
Start Date: 01/04/2005 End Date: 30/09/2008
Award/Grant Description

The objective of the project is to develop representation of the entire UK population as individuals and households, together with a package of modelling tools which allows specific research and policy questions to be addressed.  Thus our aims are to create a synthetic model of the whole UK population; to demonstrate a forecasting capability for the population model; to develop case study applications with specific reference to health, business and transport, including evaluation of wider-ranging policy scenarios; and to create a generic framework for the application of policy and simulation tools to social science problem domains.

Our programme seeks to combine methodological advances within core social science domains, particularly geography, with the development and application of a sophisticated computational infrastructure for decision support systems using the latest technology for Grid computing.  The advances which we will seek to achieve include the creation of a dynamic,
real-time, individually-based demographic forecasting model; for defined policy scenarios, to facilitate integration of data and reporting services, including GIS, with modelling, forecasting and optimisation tools, based on a secure grid services architecture; to use hybrid agent-based simulations to articulate the connections between individual level and structural change in social systems; and to provide high level capability for the articulation of unique evidence-based user scenarios for social research and policy analysis.
 

Keywords: population model; health; business; transport; policy analysis; simulation tools
Award/Grant Amount ESRC Grant Number Institution Discipline Award/Grant Type
£602,641.95 RES-149-25-0034 Statistics, Computing and Methodology Full Research Award
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Press Kit

Award/Grant Outputs and Documents

Click on Download to download the document. Number of Documents: 4
  Title Type URL Author Published
MoSeS : modelling and simulation for e-social science Proceedings Birkin, Mark 12/12/2008 13:36
A spatial microsimulation model with student agents Journal Article Wu, Belinda 11/12/2008 9:13
A synthetic demographic model of the UK population : methods, progress and problems Conference Paper Birkin, Mark 11/12/2008 8:56
Dynamic social simulation models enabled by e-research Proceedings Birkin, Mark 11/12/2008 8:36