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Award/Grant Name: SCOTLAND'S AGEING POPULATION: MICROSIMULATION OF THE BABY BOOMERS
Award/Grant Holder: Professor David Bell
Co-applicant(s): Professor Alison Bowes, Dr Paul Lambert, Dr V Sarajeva
Start Date: 01/04/2005 End Date: 31/03/2006
Award/Grant Description

Our project aims to use microsimulation modelling of individual life histories to project policy-relevant aspects of population ageing in Scotland. The project will be quantitative in nature and will focus on microsimulations of how the care sector may change through time. It will particularly focus on:

  1. healthy life expectancy and
  2. likelihood of receiving and/or giving informal care.
In additon, we will incorporate such information as we are able to find in the relevant literature regarding the impact of changing expectations of care and support in older age.
The project will calibrate an open-source microsimulation system to Scottish data from a variety of sources including our focus groups. The project will be multi-disciplinary, drawing on social policy, economics and demography. It will be capacity building, since microsimulation is almost unknown to the policy-making community in Scotland at present. It will address policy issues on which Scotland already takes a different approach from England and Wales. It will have a number of outputs and user engagements. These include:

(1) Papers outlining the results from the microsimulations, which describes the methods used and the implications of the projections for policy over the next two decades
(2) Two user seminars. The first will attempt to engage interested parties with the work before substantive analysis has been undertaken. It will explain the principles and benefits of microsimulation. The second will engage this group and the policy community with the results of our simulations. (3) It will also consider potential extensions to the methodology.

Keywords: ageing microsimiulation cost care informal healthy life expectancy baby-boomer
Award/Grant Amount ESRC Grant Number Institution Discipline Award/Grant Type
£41,450.47 RES-342-25-0006 Economics Substantive Research Contract
Web Links
carebabyboomer carebabyboomer
Press Kit

Award/Grant Outputs and Documents

Click on Download to download the document. Number of Documents: 4
  Title Type URL Author Published
Plain Englsih Summary Plain English Summary , 25/01/2007 11:43
End of award report Full Research Report Bell, David 03/01/2007 15:59
Non-technical summary Research Summary Bell, David 03/01/2007 15:59
Did the introduction of free personal care in Scotland result in a reduction of informal care? Seminar / Workshops Bell, David 19/07/2006 10:49